Our Next Event: Luncheon and presentation by Mark Quinn, Regional Director, SBA, "The State of the Small Business Economy in the United States."
When: Wednesday, September 1, 2010. Registration begins at 11:30 a.m., lunch at noon and presentation beginning at 12:15 p.m. Event to conclude by 1:15 p.m.
Where: The San Francisco Federal Building, 90 7th Street, room B-040, San Francisco, California.
RSVP: By noon Monday, August 30, 2010 to rsvp@SFNABE.com.
Mark Quinn is District Director for the U.S. Small Business Administration, San Francisco. The San Francisco District covers the San Francisco Bay Area and Northern California counties from Crescent City to Santa Cruz. Mark has also served as Deputy District Director for the SF office, and previously supervised the Porfolio Management division, handling the services of SBA lending throughout Northern california. Prior to coming to SBA in September 1986, he held positions as a Regional Economist and Economic Development Specialist with the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development in San Francisco and Philadelphia Regions.
The pricing for the September 1st event is as follows:
Members, lunch: $15
Non-members, lunch: $25
Members, meeting only: $8
Nonmembers, meeting only: $15
Students with valid student I.D., no lunch: $5
Membership: Add $40 (annual) to above fees.
You may apply for or renew membership at the event.
Fees are payable by cash or check to SF NABE at the meeting. RSVP by e-mail to rsvp@sfnabe.com and include your name, title and company or organization by noon Monday, August 30, 2010.
Bring a government issued photo ID such as a driver's license or passport for admission to the building.
Monthly meeting for October 6, 2010: Lynn Reaser, Ph.D., President of the National Association for Business Economics and Chief Economist for Point Loma Nazarene University at the Fermanian Business & Economic Institute: “The New Economic Reality—How New and How Real?” at the San Francisco Federal Building, 11:30 a.m. to 1:15 p.m.
Meetings will be held at the San Francisco Federal Building, room B-040
90 7th St. (Corner of 7th and Mission) San Francisco, CA 94103
- Bring a photo id such as a driver's license or passport for admission to the building.
Past SF NABE Meetings
"California Water Myths and the Challenge of Sustainable Water Resource Management."
Ellen Hanak is senior fellow and director of research at the Public Policy Institute of California, where she holds the Thomas C. Sutton chair in policy research. At PPIC, she has launched research programs on water policy and infrastructure finance, and has published reports and articles on water marketing, water and land use planning, water conservation, infrastructure planning and finance and climate change. Before joining PPIC in 2001, she held positions with the French agricultural research system, the President’s Council of Economic Advisers, and the World Bank. She holds a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Maryland. The December 2009 report, California Water Myths, co-authored with Jay Lund, Ariel Dinar, Brian Gray, Richard Howitt, Jeffrey Mount, Peter Moyle, and Barton "Buzz” Thompson, can be downloaded from http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=890
"The Future of Consumer Tech: Trends and Outlook."
Shawn DuBravac is the Chief Economist and Director of Research for the Consumer Electronics Association (CEA), where he helps direct CEA’s economic analysis and market research initiatives. Located just outside Washington DC, CEA is a top 15 Trade Association representing over 2,200 technology companies. DuBravac holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation and serves on the Board of the CFA Society of Washington, DC. He is an Adjunct Professor in George Washington University’s MBA program. In his free time, he volunteers in the community by providing financial education through the Virginia Cooperative Extension.
"Policy Evaluation in Real Time."
John B. Taylor is the Bowen H. and Janice Arthur McCoy Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and the Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics at Stanford University. Among other roles in public service, he served as a member of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers from 1989 to 1991 and as undersecretary of the Treasury for international affairs from 2001 to 2005. He is currently a member of the California Governor’s Council of Economic Advisers. His new book Getting Off Track: How Government Actions and Interventions Caused, Prolonged, and Worsened the Financial Crisis is an empirical analysis of the recent financial crisis. He also recently coedited The Road ahead for the Fed in which twelve leading experts, himself included, examine and debate proposals for financial reform and exit strategies from the financial crisis. Before joining the Stanford faculty in 1984, Taylor held positions as a professor of economics at Princeton University and Columbia University. He received a BS in economics summa cum laude from Princeton and a PhD in economics from Stanford University in 1973.
The California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006: Meeting Emissions Reduction Requirements through Improved Business Productivity
Jasmin Ansar is an economist with the Climate program at the Union of Concerned Scientists, a science-based nonprofit organization working to improve global environmental quality. The focus of her work is designing and advocating for effective global warming policies with particular emphasis on Western Climate Initiative proposals currently being reviewed in California. Dr. Ansar is also a visiting Professor at the Lorry I. Lokey Graduate School of Business, Mills College, Oakland, and has taught Econometrics and Economics at the City University, London. She has a Diploma/MSc. in Econometrics and Economics and a PhD in Economics from the University of Southampton, England.
After the Dot-Com Bubble: Silicon Valley High-Tech Employment and Wages
Mr. Amar Mann is the Regional Economist and a Branch Chief for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) regional office in San Francisco. Since 2007, he has overseen the Economic Analysis and Information division, where he helps to market and disseminate BLS data through reports, articles, and the BLS website. Mr. Mann holds a B.A. degree in economics (Yale University) and a M.A. degree in energy and resources (University of California, Berkeley). He has also served as a frequent media spokesperson on labor and economic data, and recently published a report on high-tech employment in the Silicon Valley after the dot-com bubble. Prior to joining BLS, he worked on energy demand forecasting models for the U.S. Department of Energy in Washington, DC.
The California Economic Outlook
Howard L. Roth, Ph.D. has been Chief Economist for the California Department of Finance since 2001. He produces the forecasts of the national and California economies that underlie the state's budget. He earned his masters and doctorate degrees in economics at the University of Michigan, and was previously vice president and senior economist for BankAmerica Corp.
“Why Is Consumer Spending Falling So Quickly?”
Mark Doms has been a senior economist in the Economic Research Department at Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco since 2002 where he specializes in applied econometrics. Previously, Mark worked as an economist at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, and the Department of Commerce. He received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Wisconsin in 1992
How Deep a Recession? Policy versus Pessimism. (March 2009)
Our speaker for the policy and economic outlook meeting will be Chris Varvares, President of Macroeconomic Advisers, a company he co-founded with Joel Prakken and Laurence Meyer as Laurence H. Meyer & Associates in 1982. The firm became Macroeconomic Advisers in June of 1996 when Dr. Meyer joined the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Mr. Varvares has over 25 years of experience in macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis, both as a principal of Macroeconomic Advisers (1982 to present) and as a member of the staff of the President's Council of Economic Advisers (1981-1982). Mr. Varvares is the current president and a former director of the National Association for Business Economics. He holds a B.A. in Economics from the George Washington University and received his graduate training in economics from Washington University in St. Louis.
The recession from industry's perspective (March 2009)
Duncan Meldrum is the chief economist for Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., a $10 billion industrial gas and chemicals company serving customers in more than 30 countries. He is responsible for assessing the impact of the economic environment on the company's performance for the executive management team. He and his small team of professionals develop global economic assumptions for the company's operating and strategic plans. Prior to joining Air Products and Chemicals in 1979, Meldrum served on active duty in the U.S. Navy as an aviator and operations research specialist. He received a B.S. degree from the U.S. Naval Academy in 1973, a M.S. degree in Operations Research from the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School in 1974, and a Ph.D. in Economics from Lehigh University in 1992. Meldrum served as President of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) in 2003-2004 and a director of the Association from 1999 to 2006.
Ocean Economics (January 2009)
Judy Kildow, PhD, MBARI, is Senior Social Scientist at the Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute (MBARI), where she is Principal Investigator and Director of the National Ocean Economics Program (NOEP). Her research bridges science and policy, identifying trends in economic activities, demonstrating how the nation values the oceans and how the oceans contribute to the economy at all levels.. She is particularly interested in projecting potential hot spots where increasing coastal economic activity and probable climate change impacts collide, helping communities and the nation to prepare for greenhouse-gas induced challenges. Her research team recently produced coastal and ocean economic studies for California and Florida and assisted FEMA with economic loss data after Katrina. Dr. Kildow held the James W. Rote Distinguished Professorship at California State University at Monterey Bay, served as Research Faculty and Senior Fellow at Harvard University, University of Southern California and University of Vermont. Earlier, Dr. Kildow spent most of her career as a tenured faculty member at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in the Department of Ocean Engineering. She has published widely in the fields of marine and coastal policy and economics.
Econometrics applied to the Biotechnology and Investment Industries (December 2008)
Darwin Farrow, PhD, is Principal, DA Farrow Consulting. Dr. Farrow has extensive experience in statistical data analysis, applied mathematics, and numerical simulation in finance and biotech. His areas of expertise include Statistical analysis/algorithm development; and Classification and numerical optimization techniques. Previously, Dr. Farrow developed computational solutions for Signature Biosciences and Protogene Laboratories, Inc. Dr. Farrow received his M.S. in aerospace engineering from Texas A&M University and his Ph.D. in Bioengineering from the University of California at San Diego.
The San Francisco Bay Area Economic Outlook (November 2008)
Business economist Anne Ramstetter Wenzel, M.A., will provide an overview of the present state of the Bay Area economy, highlighting both the strengths and weaknesses of the 9-county region. Threats to the high technology and wine industries of the local economy will be discussed, along with an overall outlook for venture capital investment and employment.
Ms. Wenzel is Principal with Econosystems, an economics and market research firm located in Menlo Park, California. Prior to founding Econosystems in 1999, Ms. Wenzel was staff economist for the Chemical Economics Handbook in the Chemical Marketing Research Center at SRI International, Menlo Park, California. She received her B.A. and M.A. in Economics from San Francisco State University, and is a Certified Business Advisor for the Silicon Valley Small Business Development Center. Ms. Wenzel has served as Treasurer for the Silicon Valley Roundtable chapter of the National Association for Business Economics, and is currently vice-chair for the NABE Financial Roundtable. She has also served on the Home Based Business Roundtable for the U.S. Small Business Administration and is an adjunct faculty member at San Francisco State University and Baker College Online.
State of the California Economy (February 2008)
Howard L. Roth, Ph.D. Chief Economist, California Department of FinanceDr. Roth, who has been Chief Economist for the California Department of Finance since 2001, produces the forecasts of the national and California economies that underlie the state's budget. He earned his masters and doctorate degrees in economics at the University of Michigan, and was previously vice president and senior economist for BankAmerica Corp.
Evolution in the IPO Industry? An Analysis of IPO Trends, Prospects, and Processes (March 2008)
Speaker Nayantara Hensel, PhD, Assistant Professor of Finance and Economics, Graduate School of Business and Public Policy, Naval Post Graduate School
Dr. Nayantara Hensel is an Assistant Professor of Economics and Finance at the Graduate School of Business and Public Policy at the US Naval Postgraduate School, where she teaches the MBA core corporate finance course and the MBA Advanced Finance course. She received her B.A (magna cum laude) from Harvard University where she was a member of Phi Beta Kappa. She received her M. A. and Ph.D. in Business Economics (Applied Economics) also from Harvard University. Prior to joining the faculty at the US Naval Postgraduate School, Dr. Hensel served as a Senior Manager at Ernst & Young, LLP and the chief economist for one of its units, was a Post-Doctoral Research Fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research, taught at Harvard University and the Stern School of Business at NYU, and was an economist at NERA (part of Marsh & McLennan). Dr. Hensel is currently the chair for the NABE Financial Roundtable.
"The Outlook for Housing and Mortgage Markets in 2008" (April 2008)
David W. Berson, Senior Vice President, Chief Economist and Strategist, PMI Group, Inc. David Berson is Senior Vice President, and Chief Economist and Strategist at the PMI Group, Inc. His responsibilities include domestic and global market research and planning, support of government relations and public policy, and strategic environmental planning. Prior to joining the PMI Group, Inc., Dr. Berson was Vice President and Chief Economist for Fannie Mae, where he was responsible for advising the company on national and regional economic, housing, and mortgage policy and conditions. Dr. Berson was also a senior member of Fannie Mae's corporate strategy group, where he provided alternative views and risk analyses based on economic and market changes.
Dr. Berson received a Ph.D. in economics and a M.P.P. in public policy from the University of Michigan, and a B.A. in history and economics from Williams College. He has a long history of civic activity and currently serves on the advisory board for the Middle Patuxent Environmental Area and the board of directors for Crossway Community, a transitional housing project for homeless families.
Credit and Capital Market Developments (May 2008)
Speaker: Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company
President, National NABE Ellen Hughes-Cromwick oversees the corporate economics and strategic issues group at Ford Motor Company with responsibility for the company's global automotive industry analysis and forecasts used to support planning. Dr. Hughes-Cromwick will discuss the global economic outlook andImplications for the U.S. economic and auto industry outlook.
The U.S. Housing Market Update: Economic Forecast and U.S. Treasury Initiatives (September 2008)
SPEAKER: Phillip L. Swagel, Ph.D. Treasury Department Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy Phillip Swagel will provide a "Housing and Economic Update," including an update on Treasury's housing-related initiatives and the outlook for the housing market and the economy. Assistant Secretary Swagel will welcome questions, comments, and discussion.Phillip L. Swagel was sworn in as Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy on December 11, 2006. He advises the Secretary on all aspects of economic policy, including current and prospective macroeconomic developments and the development and analysis of the Administration's economic initiatives.
Mr. Swagel was a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute from March 2005 through October 2006, where he conducted research on domestic and international economic issues. He served as chief of staff at the White House Council of Economic Advisers from July 2002 to February 2005, and was a senior economist at the Council from August 2000 to July 2001. Mr. Swagel graduated from Princeton University with an AB in economics, and received his PhD in economics from Harvard University.